Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.002568 0.002734 0.002912 0.003119 0.003354 0.003615 0.003930
2025-01-26 0.002200 0.002405 0.002637 0.002921 0.003267 0.003681 0.004226
2025-02-02 0.002057 0.002297 0.002580 0.002945 0.003415 0.004020 0.004896
2025-02-09 0.001980 0.002252 0.002584 0.003031 0.003640 0.004485 0.005838
2025-02-16 0.001890 0.002179 0.002540 0.003043 0.003762 0.004821 0.006683
2025-02-23 0.001851 0.002163 0.002565 0.003145 0.004018 0.005401 0.008144
2025-03-02 0.001766 0.002081 0.002492 0.003101 0.004046 0.005619 0.009020
2025-03-09 0.001680 0.001991 0.002403 0.003022 0.004007 0.005710 0.009667
2025-03-16 0.001649 0.001972 0.002409 0.003083 0.004198 0.006257 0.011726
2025-03-23 0.001618 0.001951 0.002408 0.003132 0.004375 0.006824 0.014371
2025-03-30 0.001566 0.001897 0.002357 0.003096 0.004398 0.007073 0.016272
2025-04-06 0.001500 0.001822 0.002270 0.002997 0.004291 0.007009 0.016920
2025-04-13 0.001458 0.001781 0.002237 0.002988 0.004365 0.007420 0.020539
2025-04-20 0.001372 0.001675 0.002102 0.002804 0.004087 0.006917 0.018833
2025-04-27 0.001346 0.001653 0.002091 0.002825 0.004212 0.007469 0.024478
2025-05-04 0.001336 0.001653 0.002113 0.002905 0.004466 0.008482 0.039590
2025-05-11 0.001310 0.001629 0.002098 0.002916 0.004580 0.009150 0.061710
2025-05-18 0.001305 0.001635 0.002128 0.003011 0.004894 0.010687 0.259935
2025-05-25 0.001270 0.001596 0.002085 0.002970 0.004889 0.011059 1.599013
2025-06-01 0.001232 0.001549 0.002028 0.002897 0.004798 0.011045 NaN
2025-06-08 0.001221 0.001545 0.002038 0.002953 0.005032 0.012622 NaN
2025-06-15 0.001210 0.001538 0.002043 0.002998 0.005250 0.014404 NaN
2025-06-22 0.001184 0.001508 0.002010 0.002966 0.005255 0.015046 NaN